Sunday, November 16, 2025 -Experts warn that if President Trump attempts to forcefully remove Nicolás Maduro from power in Venezuela, the United States could be drawn into a prolonged and unstable military commitment.
Analysts say Maduro—despite his authoritarian rule—still acts as a fragile anchor of order, and his sudden removal could trigger a dangerous power vacuum. The Venezuelan military, which remains relatively disciplined, may attempt to seize control, suppress unrest, and resist any externally driven transition.
Even the opposition leaders favored by Trump appear ill-prepared to assume control without sustained U.S. support. Experts argue that any effort to replace Maduro would require long-term American assistance—financial, logistical, and potentially military—to stabilize the government.
Without that backing, the opposition could be overwhelmed by pro-government militias, armed colectivos, insurgent factions, and entrenched criminal networks that have deep roots in the country’s institutions.
Beyond internal instability, the effort carries major geopolitical risks. Maduro’s government receives support from Russia, China, and Cuba, meaning aggressive U.S. action could spark wider international tensions.
Analysts emphasize that any intervention “cannot be done with a short-term perspective.” If the U.S. withdraws too early, it risks plunging Venezuela into deeper chaos; if it stays, it could become entangled in a long and costly commitment with uncertain outcomes.
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